Nov 02, 2022
The histogram showing the distribution of returns of the 10 year US Treasury over the last 150 years gives a clear message. The negative return in 2022 was truly exceptional and outside of any normal confidence interval. Furthermore we take note that 2 years of negative returns appear to rarely follow each other ( except for example for 1978 / 1979 ). From a statistical perspective, considering an investment in 10 year Treasuries could make sense.