De-dollarization
Apr 14, 2023
The mighty USD, as measured by the Bloomberg Dollar Index, has been weakening over the last months and is currently testing an important long term technical support against foreign currencies. We believe there are different challenges to the USD : 1/ the de-dollarization of the world with the political wish by several countries to diminish the role of the USD as the prime reserve currency of the world, 2/ inflation, 3/recession risks while other economic blocs like China continue to normalize and 4/ a growing US budget deficit of more than 1.4 trillion USD this year and an ever growing debt load. While rumours of its demise are widely exaggerated, not all is speaking in favour of a stronger US dollar.