Category: Daily Instagraph

One reason the Trump 2.0 administration remains highly attuned to current stock market volatility is that approximately 55% of the U.S. population holds equities—either directly or indirectly through insurance policies or pension funds. With around 185 million Americans invested in the market, political decisions that negatively impact asset prices risk alienating a significant portion of … Continued

We can lament the dominance of U.S. financial markets, but the reality is that Europe has never succeeded in building a truly significant equity or bond market. While part of this can be explained by “U.S. exceptionalism,” much of the challenge lies within Europe itself — the absence of a genuine capital markets union, fragmented … Continued

The noise surrounding the first 100 days of the Trump 2.0 presidency is loud, emotional, and often unsettling for investors. However, once we take a bird’s-eye view of the U.S. stock market over the past 100 years, a very different perspective emerges. Equity markets have navigated wars, recessions, political crises, and social upheavals—and yet, the … Continued

Interesting chart shared by Denys Liutyi at Macrobond illustrating the relationship between market volatility and the performance of US equity markets. The volatility regime is represented by the average VIX over the year—often referred to as the “Fear Index.” The takeaway? Elevated market stress is not necessarily a reliable signal to buy. Markets can still … Continued

Twenty days have passed since the Trump administration announced its tariff plans — a move we likened to the work of alchemists dabbling in finance and economics. The real danger, however, is that their experiment didn’t unfold in the safe confines of a laboratory, but in the complex, interconnected system of the global economy. The … Continued

Berkshire Hathaway, the investment conglomerate led by legendary value investor Warren Buffett, currently holds an astonishing $334 billion in cash and Treasury bills. This war chest is now large enough to acquire 476 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 outright. It’s no surprise, then, that Berkshire’s stock is up 14% year-to-date, while the … Continued

According to the widely followed BofA Global Fund Manager Survey, institutional investor sentiment is currently at a low point — at least professionally. Their composite gauge, which blends growth expectations, cash levels, and equity allocations, just posted its fifth-lowest reading in the past 25 years. The good news? Historically, when Mr. Market feels this gloomy, … Continued

China just posted a $100 billion goods surplus for March, pushing the Q1 total to $275 billion — up from $185 billion last year — and nearly $1.1 trillion over the past 12 months. Tariff front-running plays a role, but it’s not the whole story: China’s trade surplus spans well beyond the U.S. A few … Continued

As the unpredictable “alchemist tariff experiment” unfolds with fresh headlines like “Possible Temporary Reprieve for Autos” and “Initiation of Chips and Drugs Probes”, Mr. Market has shifted into a more benign mood, and equity investors are beginning to lick their wounds. While future U.S. policy remains largely unpredictable, there is a growing sense that the … Continued

Global equity markets are showing strength today, buoyed by President Trump’s decision to temporarily exempt certain electronics—such as smartphones and laptops—from tariffs. While this offers a short-term relief for companies like Apple and Dell, the administration has emphasized that these exemptions are only temporary. Given the unpredictability of trade policy from the White House, further … Continued